On election night, Democrats need to pick up at least 23 House seats currently held by Republicans if they are going to win a House majority.
They could end up needing even more gains if Republicans are able to snag any Democratic-held seats; the GOP has a few targets in Minnesota and elsewhere. But for simplicity, flipping 23 House seats is the magic number for Democratic House control.
The House battlefield is huge: Election forecasters considered more than 100 House elections to be competitive in the 2018 midterms, the vast majority of them held by the GOP. Democrats are buoyed by the backlash to President Donald Trump and a campaign focused on protecting Obamacare’s protections for people with preexisting conditions after the Republican effort to repeal the law last year.
Democrats quickly started winning Republican-held House seats once the results began rolling in. So far, Democrats have won 26 GOP-held seats, more than the 23 they need to pick up. Election forecasters believe the party will win control of the House by the time the night is over, even though Democrats have lost one Minnesota seat they previously held.
You can see all live results here, and we’ll be keeping track of Democratic gains here for the rest of the night:
Virginia’s 10th Congressional District: Democrat Jennifer Wexton beats Republican Rep. Barbara Comstock
Comstock always looked like one of the most vulnerable House Republicans, after Hillary Clinton won her district by 10 points in 2016. The race was called quickly for Democrats on election night.
Florida’s 27th Congressional District: Democrat Donna Shalala beats Republican Maria Elvira Salazar
Democrats worried at one time about Shalala’s candidacy, but her momentum won out.
Pennsylvania’s Fifth Congressional District: Democrat Mary Scanlon defeats Republican Pearl Kim
Democrats were widely expected to flip this seat after Pennsylvania’s court-mandated redistricting.
Pennsylvania’s Seventh Congressional District: Democrat Susan Wild defeats Republican Marty Nothstein
This was an open seat vacated by former Rep. Patrick Meehan, who resigned from the House amid sexual assault allegations. Democrat candidate Wild defeated Republican candidate Nothstein.
Colorado’s Sixth Congressional District: Democrat Jason Crow beats Republican Rep. Mike Coffman
Coffman always seemed likely to lose this moderate suburban district in an election environment favorable to Democrats. Hillary Clinton won the Sixth by 9 points.
Pennsylvania’s 17th Congressional District: Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb tops Republican Rep. Keith Rothfus
This race was weird thanks to redistricting — pitting two current Congress members against each other — but it still counts as a Democratic pickup.
Florida’s 26th Congressional District: Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell beats Republican Rep. Carlos Curbelo
This is a big win for Democrats: Curbelo is one of the most moderate Republicans in the House, and Republicans liked their chances of holding on here even in a Democratic year.
Kansas’s Third Congressional District: Democrat Sharice Davids defeats Republican Rep. Kevin Yoder
A solid win for Democrats in the Great Plains, in a district that Hillary Clinton won by 1 point. Davids is the first Native American woman elected to the House.
New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District: Democrat Mikie Sherill wins over Republican Jay Webber
Top House Republican Rodney Frelinghuysen retired rather than defend this seat, and now Democrats have won it.
Minnesota’s Third Congressional District: Democrat Dean Phillips defeats Republican Rep. Erik Paulsen
Democrats snag one of two House pickup opportunities in the Land of 10,000 Lakes in a district Hillary Clinton won by 9.
Virginia’s Second Congressional District: Democrat Elaine Luria beats Republican Rep. Scott Taylor
Taylor’s campaign was ensnared in a voter fraud scandal, opening up an opportunity for Democrats that they took advantage of.
New York’s 11th Congressional District: Democrat Max Rose tops Republican Rep. Dan Donovan
Donovan was the last Republican lawmaker representing a part of New York City in the House. His district voted for Trump by 9 points, but Rose, a combat vet, prevailed.
Pennsylvania’s Sixth Congressional District: Democrat Christina Houlahan beats Republican Greg McCauley
Redistricting strikes again, handing Democrats an important win.
Texas’s 32nd Congressional District: Democrat Colin Allred defeats Republican Rep. Pete Sessions
Sessions had risen high in the Republican conference, taking over the influential Rules Committee, but fell short in this Clinton +2 district.
Illinois’s Sixth Congressional District: Democrat Sean Casten defeats Republican Rep. Peter Roskam
Casten has defeated Roskam, who served in the House since 2007. Hillary Clinton won the district by 7 points in 2016, but Roskam won his last reelection by nearly 20 points.
Arizona’s Second Congressional District: Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick defeats Republican Lea Marquez Peterson
Kirkpatrick previously held Arizona’s First Congressional District. She won her race in the Republican-leaning Second Congressional District, vacated by Rep. Martha McSally (R), who is running for Senate.
Michigan’s 11th Congressional District: Democrat Haley Stevens defeats Republican Lena Epstein
This district, northwest of Detroit, was previously held by retiring Republican Rep. Dave Trott. Democrat candidate Stevens has now defeated Republican candidate Epstein.
New York’s 19th Congressional District: Democrat Antonio Delgado defeats Rep. John Faso
This is a big pickup for Democrats; Delgado is a young, African-American candidate who just won an overwhelmingly white district. House Republicans’ attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act became a huge point in the race.
New York’s 22nd Congressional District: Democrat Anthony Brindisi tops Republican Rep. Claudia Tenney
A rough loss for Republicans in a district that Trump won by 15 points and Tenney won by 6 in 2016.
Texas’s Seventh Congressional District: Democrat Lizzie Pannill Fletcher defeats Republican Rep. John Culberson
Culberson has been in the House since 2001, but Democrats take this district that narrowly voted for Clinton.
Iowa’s Third Congressional District: Democrat Cindy Axne beats Republican Rep. David Young
Young has served in the US House since 2015. Health care and the GOP attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act was a huge issue in the race.
Iowa’s First Congressional District: Democrat Abby Finkenauer beats Republican Rep. Rod Blum
Finkenauer will become one of the youngest members of the House, elected at age 29.
Illinois’ 14th Congressional District: Democrat Lauren Underwood defeats Republican Rep. Randy Hultgren
Hultgren has served in the US House since 2011; he has been defeated by Underwood, who is a 32-year-old African American woman. Underwood is a registered nurse and former adviser to the Obama administration who helped implement the Affordable Care Act.
New Jersey’s Seventh Congressional District: Democrat Tom Malinowski beats Republican Rep. Leonard Lance
Lance opposed the House’s Obamacare repeal bill, but it wasn’t enough to save him.
Minnesota’s Second Congressional District: Democrat Angie Craig defeats Republican Rep. Jason Lewis
Lewis, who once lamented on his radio show that men could no longer call women “sluts,” loses to a woman in the year of the woman.
Oklahoma’s Fifth Congressional District: Democrat Kendra Horn upsets Republican Steve Russell
Horn’s victory is maybe the biggest upset of the night so far: Trump won this district by 13 points and election forecasters thought it was a Likely Republican win.